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[Objective] Runoff prediction in river basins plays a crucial role in improving hydrological prediction accuracy and water resources management at the basin scale. However, existing runoff prediction methods still have certain limitations in characterizing hydrological interactions and spatial dependencies among stations. To improve the accuracy of multi-site daily runoff prediction, a hybrid model coupling recurrent neural network (RNN) with a graph neural network (GNN) is established to conduct daily-scale runoff prediction in river basins. [Methods] Three hydrological stations in the Ganjiang River Basin were selected as the study sites. Two RNN models, namely long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU), were constructed and separately coupled with GNN to compare and analyze the runoff prediction performance of different hybrid models. Furthermore, different input-feature combinations and graph-structure construction methods were set to evaluate the effects of differences in input features and graph-structure construction on the prediction accuracy and robustness of hybrid models. [Results] The results showed that introducing GNN could effectively reduce the errors between observed and predicted runoff of single RNN-based models, with the maximum error reduction reaching 22.94%. In terms of input features, using a single high-quality remote sensing product to replace the corresponding ground observation data as model inputs could achieve relatively good prediction performance, while the simultaneous use of precipitation and potential evapotranspiration remote sensing data could further significantly improve model performance, reducing the relative error (RE) by 7.1%–97.4%. In addition, different construction methods of graph structure directly determined the variation patterns and trends of their monthly mean RE. [Conclusion] The findings indicate that incorporating GNN can enhance the ability of RNN-based models to predict multi-site runoff processes in the river basin, helping reduce prediction errors and improve model robustness. A reasonable graph structure should reflect the runoff relationships between upstream and downstream stations, as well as the driving effects of precipitation on the runoff processes at each station, which has an important impact on model prediction results. The findings can provide a reference for the construction of multi-site runoff prediction models, graph-structure design, and the integrated application of multi-source hydrometeorological factors.
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Basic Information:
China Classification Code:TP79
Citation Information:
[1]FANG Yuchen,DENG Chao,ZOU Jiacheng ,et al.Research on multi-site daily runoff prediction based on RNN-GNN under multi-source remote sensing data and graph-structure constraints[J].Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering().
Fund Information:
国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3202802)
2026-09-16
2026-09-16
2026-09-16